Justin TX Market Report: September 2026 (76247)
The median sold price in 76247 dropped 17% in one month — and sales went up 43% at the same time. Those two things do not belong in the same sentence unless something unusual happened. Something did.
Fifty-seven homes closed in Justin and the 76247 ZIP in September, the busiest month of the year so far. The median came in at $356,085, down from $430,000 in August.
If a buyer hands you that number as proof Justin is sliding, you are going to want the rest of this.
The Headline Numbers for 76247
- 57 homes closed in September, up from 40 in August — a 43% jump.
- $356,085 median sold price, down 17.2% month over month.
- $172 per square foot paid by buyers, down just 4.4% from $180.
- 287 active listings and 45 under contract — 332 homes in the pipeline.
- 5.0 months of supply, improved from 6.2 in August. Justin moved out of buyer's-market territory and into balanced.
- $22.48 million in sales volume, with closings from $150,000 to $1,075,000.
Why the Median Dropped 17% (One Neighborhood Did It)
A median is the middle number. Stack enough homes into the middle at one price, and the median moves there — whether or not a single house changed value.
Liberty Trails went from 1 closing in August to 25 in September. That is 44% of every home that sold in this ZIP, from one community, at a $330,000 median.
Twenty-five sales in a band from $275,000 to $381,990 is not twenty-five separate negotiations. That is a builder delivering a phase. Meanwhile Timberbrook — where the median closing was $538,000 — contributed just 7.
Here is the arithmetic that follows:
- The typical home that closed got smaller: 2,462 sq ft in August to 2,054 sq ft in September, down 17%.
- Price per square foot barely moved: $180 to $172, off 4.4%.
Smaller houses at roughly the same rate per foot divide into a much smaller median. That is the whole story.
The Honest Test: Same Neighborhood, Both Months
Only three Justin communities closed at least three homes in both August and September — which is a small test, and worth saying out loud. But if values were really down 17%, every row here would be falling off a cliff:
Community | Aug $/sq ft | Sep $/sq ft | Change | Closings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Treeline | $184 | $191 | +4% | 5 → 6 |
Wildflower Ranch | $188 | $184 | −2% | 5 → 4 |
Timberbrook | $169 | $157 | −7% | 6 → 7 |
The plain-English takeaway: one up, one flat, one down 7%. Nothing close to 17%. The 76247 median is a mix statistic, not a value statistic — it tells you the size of the houses that happened to close, not what yours is worth.
Justin Neighborhoods: September 2026 at a Glance
Community | Sold | Median Sold | $/Sq Ft | Active | Months Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty Trails | 25 | $330,000 | $176 | 28 | 1.1 |
Timberbrook | 7 | $538,000 | $157 | 65 | 9.3 |
Treeline | 6 | $402,275 | $191 | 51 | 8.5 |
Wildflower Ranch | 4 | $382,410 | $184 | 40 | 10.0 |
The Preserve | 2 | $417,651 | $165 | 21 | 10.5 |
Tradition | 2 | $328,600 | $113 | 11 | 5.5 |
Look at Liberty Trails and Wildflower Ranch side by side. Both are Justin. One shows 1.1 months of supply, the other 10.0. Price those two homes off the same "Justin median" and one of them sits until spring.
A fair warning on the small numbers: communities with two or three closings can swing wildly in a single month. Read the bottom of that table as direction, not measurement.
Where the Buyers Actually Were: Price Bands
Price Band | Sold | Under Contract | Active | Months Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Under $300K | 8 | 2 | 12 | 1.5 |
$300K – $400K | 30 | 18 | 84 | 2.8 |
$400K – $500K | 10 | 11 | 104 | 10.4 |
$500K – $700K | 7 | 12 | 72 | 10.3 |
$700K – $1M | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7.0 |
$1M+ | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8.0 |
This is the sharpest line in the whole report. Thirty-eight of 57 closings — two thirds — happened under $400,000, where supply runs under 3 months. Above $400,000 it more than triples to 10+ months.
Justin's demand is real, and it is concentrated. If your home lands above $400,000, you are not in a slow market — you are in a different market than your neighbor down the street.
Acreage in Justin Does Not Price Like a Subdivision Lot
Lot Size | Sold | Median Sold | $/Sq Ft | Typical Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Under 0.14 acre | 19 | $353,990 | $183 | 2,044 sq ft |
0.14 – 0.20 acre | 26 | $359,038 | $167 | 2,089 sq ft |
0.20 – 1 acre | 5 | $426,000 | $154 | 3,008 sq ft |
1 acre and up | 7 | $270,000 | $195 | 1,414 sq ft |
That last row surprises people. Homes on an acre or more closed below the subdivision median — but not because land is worthless here. Those were much smaller, older houses, typically 1,414 square feet, and they still pulled $195 a foot, the highest rate in the table.
Out on the acreage, buyers are purchasing land with a house on it. Square-foot comps from Timberbrook will not price your property, and an agent who runs them will leave money on the table.
What This Means If You Are Selling in Justin
- Sellers are asking $190 a foot. Buyers paid $172. On a 2,054 sq ft home that gap is roughly $37,000 of wishful thinking — and it is why 287 homes are still active.
- Under $400,000, you are in good shape. Under 3 months of supply and two thirds of all closings. Price it right and it moves.
- Above $400,000, the job changes. At 10+ months of supply, condition, staging and photography stop being nice-to-haves and become the entire strategy.
- If you are reselling near new construction, know your real competition. You are not just competing on price — you are competing against a builder warranty and a rate buydown. Lot, trees, mature landscaping and move-in timing are where a resale wins.
What This Means If You Are Buying in Justin
- $400K–$700K is your window. Over 10 months of supply in both bands. You have selection, time, and room to negotiate.
- Under $400K, move fast. Under 3 months of supply and the busiest band by a mile.
- Ask what the builder is actually paying. In new-construction phases, the incentive package often matters more than the sticker.
Want the number for your street — not the ZIP code?
I'll pull your community's actual comps, walk your home, and give you a real figure. No pressure, no pitch, no obligation. Just the number.
Call or Text 972-358-6420Email Cathy
Justin Market Questions, Answered
What is the median home price in Justin TX 76247?
The median sold price in Justin and ZIP 76247 was $356,085 in September 2026, across 57 closings, at a median of $172 per square foot. That is down 17.2% from August's $430,000 — but the drop came from a change in which homes sold, not from homes losing value.
Are home prices falling in Justin TX?
Not meaningfully. The median fell 17% in September 2026, but sales volume rose 43% in the same month, and price per square foot slipped only 4.4%. The drop traces to Liberty Trails closing 25 homes at a $330,000 median — 44% of all closings in the ZIP. Of the three communities with enough sales to compare both months, one was up 4%, one flat, and one down 7%.
Is Justin a buyer's market or a seller's market?
Justin is balanced and improving. Months of supply moved from 6.2 in August 2026 to 5.0 in September. It splits sharply by price: under $400,000 runs under 3 months of supply, while $400,000–$700,000 sits above 10 months.
How many homes are for sale in Justin 76247?
There were 287 active listings in Justin and ZIP 76247 at the end of September 2026, plus 45 homes under contract — 332 in the pipeline. The median asking price was $449,072.
Which Justin neighborhood is selling fastest?
Liberty Trails, at 1.1 months of supply on 25 September 2026 closings — though that reflects a new-construction phase closing out, not typical resale pace. Among the rest, Tradition was tightest at 5.5 months. Wildflower Ranch was slowest at 10.0 months.
What is the best price range to buy in Justin right now?
The $400,000 to $700,000 range gives buyers the most leverage, with 176 active listings against 17 September 2026 closings — over 10 months of supply in both bands. Under $300,000 is the tightest at 1.5 months.
About This Report
This is part of a monthly series covering Justin, Haslet, Northlake, Roanoke, Keller, the Alliance corridor and North Fort Worth. Each report is built from the full MLS export — every closing and every active listing — rather than a headline average.
Cathy Carter is Broker and Founder of Carter Signature Properties, the #1 REALTOR® in Haslet and the Alliance area and a Top 1% Texas REALTOR®. Reach her at 972-358-6420 or [email protected].
Data source and disclosures. North Texas Real Estate Information Systems (NTREIS) MLS, covering the Justin area and ZIP 76247 for September 1–30, 2026, pulled October 1, 2026. Information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and is subject to change as MLS records are updated or corrected.
Subdivision phases and builder sections are grouped into single communities for readability; Tradition is reported separately from Wildflower Ranch to stay consistent with prior months. Months of supply is active inventory divided by the month's closing pace; with a single month of sales it is a sensitive measure, and communities with only one or two closings are directional rather than conclusive. One September closing was a 5-acre parcel with no reported living area; it is included in the sales count and total volume but carries no price per square foot.
This report is a market summary. It is not an appraisal, a broker price opinion, or a valuation of any individual property, and no individual address, owner or buyer information is published. All information is offered without regard to race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, sexual orientation or gender identity, in compliance with the Fair Housing Act. Carter Signature Properties is an Equal Housing Opportunity brokerage.
